BluelineMetrics/About
About BluelineMetrics

NHL analytics powered by
real statistical modeling

BluelineMetrics is an independent NHL analytics platform built to give fans, analysts, and hockey enthusiasts a deeper look at the numbers behind the game.

What We Do

We build data-driven tools that make NHL statistics more useful and accessible. Our models pull from publicly available data and apply statistical techniques to surface insights that go beyond the box score.

Contract Database
WAR-based contract valuation for every NHL player, with expected AAV and value ratings.
Draft Prospect Rankings
NHLer% and Star% projections for 2026 draft prospects using CSS ranks and NHLe production.
NHL Edge Skating
Top speed, shot speed, and distance metrics from NHL's tracking data.
Playoff Simulator
Monte Carlo playoff simulations based on team strength and matchup data.

Our Methodology

Our contract valuation model is built on Wins Above Replacement (WAR), drawing inspiration from the publicly available research at Evolving-Hockey. We model expected AAV as a function of WAR and market conditions, then compare it against each player's actual cap hit to produce a value rating.

Our draft model uses CSS scouting ranks as a Bayesian prior, adjusted by NHLe (NHL equivalency) production. NHLer% represents the probability a prospect plays 164 or more NHL games. Star% represents the conditional probability of becoming a top-line contributor, given they reach the NHL.

All data is sourced from publicly available NHL APIs, CSS rankings, and official transaction records. Models are updated regularly throughout the season.

Contact

Questions, feedback, or data inquiries — we'd love to hear from you.

contact@bluelinemetrics.com