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BlueLineMetrics/Articles

Articles

News, analytic breakdowns & research.

Written analysis from the BluelineMetrics data: what the numbers on our team and player pages say about the season, how our models work, and the stories the standings miss. Every figure comes from the same data as the rest of the site, and each piece says how it was counted. New to the numbers? Start with advanced stats explained.

October 12, 2026#analysis#teams#expected goals
Two Weeks In, Which Records Match the Play?
Four to six games in, the standings are mostly noise. Expected goals settle faster. Here are the hot starts built on solid play, the ones built on shooting luck, and the cold starts that should warm up.
BluelineMetricsRead →
October 12, 2026#analysis#teams#flyers
The Flyers' 0-5-2 Start, in Context
Philadelphia has never gone seven games without a win before. We went through every team's first seven games since 1917 and every shot of the Flyers' two worst modern starts to see how this one compares.
BluelineMetricsRead →
October 12, 2026#methodology#expected goals#teams
Why Our Team Pages Show Two Expected-Goals Numbers
Five-on-five xG% and BlueLine xG% answer different questions. Here is what each one counts, what we adjust for, how well each tracks real results, and which to reach for when.
BluelineMetricsRead →
August 23, 2026#analysis#projections#players
Five Bounce-Back Candidates for 2026-27
Hedman, Matthews, Point, Colton and Kyrou all had years they would rather forget. Our model says every one of them left goals on the table, but only one did it at a scale that really screams regression.
Ethan RawsonRead →
July 8, 2026#site-news
Welcome to Blueline Articles
News, analytic breakdowns and original research — written here, powered by the same models that run the site.
BluelineMetricsRead →