This is the new home for written work on BluelineMetrics: free-agency reactions, trade breakdowns graded by our contract model, deep dives into the numbers behind the site, and — soon — original research.

What to expect

  • News with numbers. When a deal gets signed, we won't just report it — we'll show what our expected-value model thinks of it, and which historical contracts it compares to.
  • Model explainers. How the ratings work, what goes into the season simulations, and why the Trade Machine values a rebuilding team's 1st-rounder differently than a contender's.
  • Original research. Longer projects, starting with special-teams work on defensemen handedness and slot-pass suppression on the penalty kill.

How this page works

Every article is a simple markdown file in the site repository — commit and it publishes. If you spot something worth a breakdown, it can go from idea to published in minutes.

Have a topic you want covered? Find us on X.