The Tampa Bay Lightning are 9-3-2 with 20 points from 14 games in 2026-27, 5th of 32 in the NHL by points percentage. At five on five they have taken 56.6% of the expected goals in their games (4th of 32) and 55.2% of the shot attempts (4th of 32); counting every situation, our BlueLine xG model gives them 55.4% (7th of 32).
Their strongest numbers so far: Zone Entries / 60 (1st), xGF / 60 (2nd), GF / 60 (2nd) and Rush Chances / 60 (2nd).
Where they trail the league: Entries Allowed / 60 (32nd), Distance / GP (mi) (31st), Save % (30th) and Takeaways / 60 (28th).
On special teams the power play is converting 16.3% (27th of 32) and the penalty kill is stopping 76.9% (16th of 32). Their five-on-five save percentage is .888 (30th of 32), and PDO, shooting plus save percentage, sits at 1.007.
It is early: 14 games is a small sample, and ranks move a lot over the first month. Last season's numbers below are the steadier guide for now.
| Stat | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points % | 71.4% | 5th of 32 |
| Goal Diff / GP | +0.57 | 6th of 32 |
| Goals For / GP | 3.71 | 4th of 32 |
| Goals Against / GP (lower is better) | 3.14 | 16th of 32 |
| xG% | 56.6% | 4th of 32 |
| Corsi % | 55.2% | 4th of 32 |
| High-Danger Chance % | 56.5% | 9th of 32 |
| Save % | .888 | 30th of 32 |
| PDO | 1.007 | 12th of 32 |
| Power Play % | 16.3% | 27th of 32 |
| Penalty Kill % | 76.9% | 16th of 32 |
| BlueLine xG% | 55.4% | 7th of 32 |
| Talent-Adjusted xGA / GP (lower is better) | 2.80 | 10th of 32 |
| Rush Chances / 60 | 6.52 | 2nd of 32 |
| Rush Chances Allowed / 60 (lower is better) | 5.97 | 27th of 32 |
| D-Zone Escape % | 47.6% | 5th of 32 |
| O-Zone Time % | 41.6% | 14th of 32 |
| Faceoff % | 47.7% | 25th of 32 |
| Player | Pos | GP | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita Kucherov | R | 14 | 4 | 16 | 20 |
| Brandon Hagel | L | 14 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Jake Guentzel | C | 14 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Brayden Point | C | 14 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| Pontus Holmberg | R | 14 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
In goal: Andrei Vasilevskiy (11 GP, .879 save percentage, -1.8 goals saved above expected) and Dennis Hildeby (3 GP, .885 save percentage, -0.7 goals saved above expected).
In 2025-26 the Tampa Bay Lightning went 50-26-6 (106 points, 5th of 32 by points percentage) with a 54.3% five-on-five expected-goals share (5th of 32). Their highest-rated regulars last season were Darren Raddysh (100.0), Nikita Kucherov (98.9), Brandon Hagel (98.2), Jake Guentzel (91.1) and J.J. Moser (90.7), on our 0-100 player rating.
The Tampa Bay Lightning carry $100.3M in cap hits against a $104M ceiling, leaving $3.66M in space. Their biggest contracts: Andrei Vasilevskiy ($9.5M, rated underpaid), Brayden Point ($9.5M, rated fair), Nikita Kucherov ($9.5M, rated underpaid), Jake Guentzel ($9M, rated underpaid) and John Carlson ($8.5M, rated fair). The full sheet, with each contract's value verdict, is on the Tampa Bay Lightning cap page.
Expected goals (xG) weigh every unblocked shot by how often a shot like it, from that spot and in that situation, goes in. The five-on-five xG% is our shot model before any adjustment; BlueLine xG counts every situation, including the power play and empty nets, and adjusts for score, venue and the home rink's scorekeeping. Ranks run 1 (best) to 32 and update nightly. Compare every club on any of these stats on the team rankings, see Tampa Bay Lightning franchise history, or read advanced stats explained.
