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Loading…By the model, Hagel is a top-tier winger: a 93.9 overall, 14th of 384 at his position. That makes him the 3rd-highest-rated player on the Tampa Bay Lightning roster.
Offensive creation is where he wins, at 96, while defensive impact at 65 is the clear area to improve.
Over 6 rated seasons since 2020-21 he has averaged 82, peaking at 98.9 in 2024-25; last season's 98.2 was right in line with the year before.
At $6.5M through 2031-32 before unrestricted free agency, the model rates the deal Underpaid: his expected value is $14.5M, so the Tampa Bay Lightning save roughly $8M a season against his production.
His cap hit is the 8th-largest on the Tampa Bay Lightning NHL roster and uses 6.3% of the $104M ceiling; the club currently has $3.66M in cap space.
| Component | Rating (0-100) |
|---|---|
| Offense | 96 |
| Defense | 65 |
| Play driving | 88 |
| Finishing | 86 |
| Power play | 80 |
| Penalty kill | 72 |
| Season | Team | GP | Overall | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | TBL | 71 | 98.2 | 1.8 |
| 2024-25 | TBL | 82 | 98.9 | 1.7 |
| 2023-24 | TBL | 82 | 87.6 | 1.2 |
| 2022-23 | TBL | 81 | 85.3 | 1.3 |
| 2021-22 | TBL | 77 | 66 | 0.8 |
| 2020-21 | CHI | 52 | 55.9 | 0.2 |
Other TBL wingers by rating: Nikita Kucherov (94.1), Jake Guentzel (91.5), Pontus Holmberg (58), Gage Goncalves (51.1). See the full Tampa Bay Lightning cap sheet.
How we rate players: each skater's overall is a percentile (0-100) built from offense, defense, play driving, finishing, power-play and penalty-kill impact against players at the same position; goalies are rated on goals saved above expected. Contract value compares the cap hit with the salary the model expects for that level of production, age and position. Figures are updated as new games and signings arrive.