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Loading…By the model, MacKinnon is a top-tier center: a 97.6 overall, 4th of 195 at his position. That makes him the highest-rated player on the Colorado Avalanche roster.
Offensive creation is where he wins, at 100, while defensive impact at 43 is the clear area to improve.
Over 13 rated seasons since 2013-14 he has averaged 94.3, peaking at 100 in 2023-24; last season's 99.1 was right in line with the year before.
At $12.6M through 2030-31 before unrestricted free agency, the model rates the deal Underpaid: his expected value is $15.6M, so the Colorado Avalanche save roughly $2.99M a season against his production.
His cap hit is the largest on the Colorado Avalanche NHL roster and uses 12.1% of the $104M ceiling; the club currently has $1.2M in cap space.
| Component | Rating (0-100) |
|---|---|
| Offense | 100 |
| Defense | 43 |
| Play driving | 93 |
| Finishing | 80 |
| Power play | 78 |
| Season | Team | GP | Overall | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | COL | 80 | 99.1 | 2.7 |
| 2024-25 | COL | 79 | 98 | 1.8 |
| 2023-24 | COL | 82 | 100 | 3 |
| 2022-23 | COL | 71 | 99.3 | 2.2 |
| 2021-22 | COL | 65 | 95.7 | 1.6 |
| 2020-21 | COL | 48 | 98.3 | 1.9 |
| 2019-20 | COL | 69 | 100 | 2.2 |
| 2018-19 | COL | 82 | 99.6 | 1.8 |
| 2017-18 | COL | 74 | 99.1 | 2.2 |
| 2016-17 | COL | 82 | 82.1 | 0.4 |
Other COL centers by rating: Nazem Kadri (78.6), Brock Nelson (67.8), Nicolas Roy (44.8), Fedor Svechkov (31.1). See the full Colorado Avalanche cap sheet.
How we rate players: each skater's overall is a percentile (0-100) built from offense, defense, play driving, finishing, power-play and penalty-kill impact against players at the same position; goalies are rated on goals saved above expected. Contract value compares the cap hit with the salary the model expects for that level of production, age and position. Figures are updated as new games and signings arrive.